Thursday, April 25, 2013

Prospect-Central's Final 2013 NFL Mock Draft!!!

Prospect-Central: 2013 NFL Mock Draft

Written by: Prospect-Central

Why are high school athletes ranked? A number of reasons, but it's basically the same reason future pro's are ranked right before they're drafted; to find out who the best of the best are. High school rankings don't always emulate how future drafts play out, but it's still a helpful tool in predicting the unknown.

Today the 2013 NFL Draft is upon us, and it's comprised of players from the high school graduating classes of 2008 (redshirts), 2009 & 2010. Of all the potential first round picks in this years draft, there was roughly 16 players listed in the Top 100 of their Class during high school. That's half of the first round (32 picks). If you're wondering about this years potential #1 pick Eric Fisher; he wasn't even ranked coming out of the Class of 2009.

Obviously rankings aren't an exact science. There's always a number of players drafted each year that were never ranked during high school. Now that these players are about to become professional athletes however, the only rankings that matter are on NFL Draft Boards.

Creating Mock Drafts for the NFL as opposed to the NBA couldn't be more different. First of all, the NFL has 7 rounds, while the NBA only has 2. With more rounds comes more players to analyze, which in turn leads to more uncertainty. There's also more positions to fill in the NFL, so they tend to draft for need, while the NBA usually drafts the best players available.

Since that's the case, in order to make an accurate NFL Mock Draft you really need to have connections with the organization to get a good read on the situation. It doesn't matter how good you think a player is, it's all about the best fit for the team. With the NBA however, you don't need to know what players teams are looking at as much, but rather the players you feel are best in the draft. Obviously you need to know your prospects in order to create a good Mock Draft, but that's the fun of it right?

Perhaps the biggest difference between the NFL & NBA when it comes to creating Mock Drafts; all the trades that take place during the NFL Draft. Since the NFL usually drafts for position, one trade can throw off an entire Mock Draft, and there's usually way more than one trade on draft night. Even though trades definitely take place during NBA Drafts as well, it doesn't effect Mock's as much because the NBA tends to draft the best players available anyway.

Which brings us to Prospect-Central's Final 2013 NFL Mock Draft. Even though PC focuses more on basketball rather than football, last years NFL Mock Draft was actually pretty successful. PC missed only 3 players in the entire first round, and got nearly half the picks exactly right. Hopefully this years Mock can be just as successful, but I'm having my doubts. There's just too much uncertainty with the draft this year. Be that as it may, here's Prospect-Central's final attempt to predict the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft.

(1) Eric Fisher OT / 6'7'' 305 / Central Michigan / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Eric Fisher OT
(2) Luke Joeckel OT / 6'6'' 310 / Texas A&M / Jr.
      Actual Pick: Luke Joeckel OT
(3) Sharrif Floyd DT / 6'3'' 300 / Florida / Jr.
      Actual Pick: Dion Jordan OLB * Traded to Miami Dolphins
(4) Lane Johnson OT / 6'6'' 305 / Oklahoma / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Lane Johnson OT
(5) Ezekiel Ansah DE / 6'5'' 270 / BYU / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Ezekiel Ansah DE
(6) Geno Smith QB / 6'3'' 220 / West Virginia / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Barkevious Mingo DE
(7) Dion Jordan OLB / 6'6'' 245 / Oregon / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Jonathan Cooper OG
(8) Tavon Austin WR / 5'9'' 175 / West Virginia / Sr.
      Actual Pick: Tavon Austin WR * Traded to St. Louis Rams
(9) Barkevious Mingo DE / 6'5'' 240 / LSU / Jr.
      Actual Pick: DeMarcus Milliner CB
(10) DeMarcus Milliner CB / 6'1'' 195 / Alabama / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Chance Warmack OG
(11) Jonathan Cooper OG / 6'3'' 310 / UNC / Sr.
         Actual Pick: D.J. Fluker OT
(12) D.J. Fluker OT / 6'5'' 340 / Alabama / Jr.
         Actual Pick: D.J. Hayden CB * Traded to Oakland Raiders
(13) Ryan Nassib QB / 6'2'' 230 / Syracuse / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Sheldon Richardson DT
(14) Star Lotulelei DT / 6'3'' 325 / Utah / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Star Lotulelei DT
(15) Sheldon Richardson DT / 6'3'' 295 / Missouri / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Kenny Vaccaro FS
(16) Kenny Vaccaro FS / 6'1'' 220 / Texas / Sr.
         Actual Pick: E.J. Manuel QB * Traded to Buffalo Bills
(17) Jarvis Jones OLB / 6'3'' 240 / Georgia / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Jarvis Jones OLB
(18) Tyler Eifert TE / 6'6'' 250 / Notre Dame / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Eric Reid FS * Traded to San Francisco 49ers
(19) Chance Warmack OG / 6'2'' 325 / Alabama / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Justin Pugh OT
(20) Manti Te'o ILB / 6'2'' 250 / Notre Dame / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Kyle Long OG
(21) Eric Reid FS / 6'1'' 215 / LSU / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Tyler Eifert TE
(22) Alec Ogletree ILB / 6'3'' 235 / Georgia / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Desmond Trufant CB * Traded to Atlanta Falcons
(23) Cordarrelle Patterson WR / 6'3'' 205 / Tennessee / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Sharrif Floyd DT
(24) D.J. Hayden CB / 5'11'' 190 / Houston / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Bjoern Werner DE
(25) Sylvester Williams DT / 6'3'' 315 / UNC / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Xavier Rhodes CB
(26) Datone Jones DE 6'4'' 285 / UCLA / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Datone Jones DE
(27) DeAndre Hopkins WR / 6'1'' 215 / Clemson / Jr.
         Actual Pick: DeAndre Hopkins WR
(28) Bjoern Werner DE / 6'3'' 265 / Florida State / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Sylvester Williams DT
(29) Xavier Rhodes CB / 6'2'' 210 / Florida State / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Cordarrelle Patterson WR * Traded to Minnesota Vikings
(30) Desmond Trufant CB / 6'0'' 190 / Washington / Sr.
         Actual Pick: Alec Ogletree ILB * Traded to St. Louis Rams
(31) Matt Elam SS / 5'10'' 205 / Florida / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Travis Frederick C * Traded to Dallas Cowboys
(32) Justin Hunter WR / 6'4'' 195 / Tennessee / Jr.
         Actual Pick: Matt Elam SS

2013 NFL Draft
First Round
Second Round
Third Round
Fourth Round
Fifth Round
Sixth Round
Seventh Round

NFL Draft History
1936 - 2012

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